Ngomhla zingama-22 kuJuni, 2022, ikusasa le-steel rebar lehla ngaphansi kophawu lwe-CNY 4,500-per-tonne, izinga elingakaze libonwe kusukela ngoDisemba odlule futhi manje lehle cishe ngo-15% kusukela ekuphakameni kwabo kwasekuqaleni kukaMeyi phakathi kwesidingo esibuthakathaka esiqhubekayo esihlanganiswe nezinhlu zezimpahla ezikhulayo.Ukukhathazeka okuhlala njalo kokuthi ukwehla komnotho emhlabeni wonke okubangelwe ukuqiniswa okunamandla okuvela emabhange amakhulu kanye nokuqubuka kokuqubuka kwe-coronavirus eChina kunciphise isidingo sokukhiqiza.Ukwengeza embonweni we-bearish, amafektri akhe kabusha amasheya kulandela ukuphazamiseka okuhlobene nempi yase-Ukraine.Ngakolunye uhlangothi, uhlu olunjalo lwempahla kufanele luphoqe abadlali abakhulu bensimbi ukuthi banqande ukukhiqizwa, okufanele, futhi, kusekele amanani esikhathini esimaphakathi.
Isidingo sensimbi saseChina, amanani angakhuphuka lapho ukuvalwa kwe-Covid kuphela
Izindleko zezinto zokusetshenziswa (insimbi namalahle) kulindeleke ukuthi zihlale ziphezulu ngo-2022 ngenxa yokungezwani kwezombusazwe kanye nezinyathelo ezigunyazwe uhulumeni zokunciphisa ukukhishwa kwekhabhoni.Izilinganiso ze-Fitch nazo bezilindele ukuthi izintengo zensimbi zihlale ziphezulu kulo nyaka.
I-WSA ibikezela isidingo sensimbi eChina ukuthi sizohlala siphansi ngo-2022 futhi okungenzeka sikhuphuke ngo-2023 njengoba uhulumeni waseShayina ezama ukukhulisa utshalomali lwengqalasizinda kanye nokuzinzisa imakethe yezindlu nezindlu.
Isidingo sensimbi yomhlaba wonke sizokhula ngo-2022 nango-2023
Ngaphandle kokungaqiniseki okudalwe yimpi yase-Ukraine nokuvalwa kwezindawo eChina, i-WSA ibikezela ukuthi isidingo sensimbi emhlabeni wonke sizokhuphuka ngo-2022 nango-2023.
Ngo-2023, kwabikezelwa ukuthi isidingo sensimbi sizokhula ngo-2.2% siye kumathani ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyi-1.88.Kodwa-ke, i-WSA ixwayise ngokuthi izilinganiso zingaphansi kokungaqiniseki okukhulu.
I-WSA iphinde yalindela ukuthi impi yase-Ukraine iphele ngo-2022 kodwa unswinyo olubhekiswe eRussia luzohlala lukhona.Izijeziso ezibekwe eRussia zinciphise ukutholakala kwensimbi eYurophu.Ngokusho kwedatha ye-WSA, iRussia yakhiqiza amathani ayizigidi ezingama-75.6 ensimbi engahluziwe ngo-2021, okubalelwa ku-3.9% wokuhlinzekwa komhlaba wonke.
Isibikezelo senani lensimbi
Ngaphambi kwenhlekelele yaseRussia-Ukraine, umhlaziyi wezezimali u-Fitch Ratings wayelindele ukuthi inani lentengo lensimbi le-HRC lehle liye ku-$750 ngethani ngo-2022 kanye no-$535/tonne ngo-2023 kuya ku-2025 esibikezelweni sayo esishicilelwe ekupheleni konyaka odlule.
Ngenxa yokunyuka kokungaqiniseki nokuntengantenga emakethe, abahlaziyi abaningi bakugwemile ukunikeza izilinganiso zentengo yensimbi yesikhathi eside ku-2030.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Jun-28-2022